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For those delving deep into football handicapping, in-depth analysis of each & every NFL Draft is a must.Forgive the impudence for a moment, but no professional handicapper puts more time into studying the draft than we do here at Lock of the Day. We are the best in the business. To make wise, informed NFL football picks, you must know the names, faces, and capabilities of all new NFL players. Since 2002 we have been scrutinizing every NFL Draft, every player in the top 3 rounds, every team's true draft grade, and every team's draft-day trades.
This year's draft will be no different.Before we offer some tips on this year's draft, let's give an example of how draft analysis can lead to winning football picks.
In 2007 the Raiders shocked top NFL handicappers by drafting JaMarcus Russell #1 overall.No other team would have drafted this player in the entire first round!As the season started and progressed, Lockoftheday.com & our subscribers bet the farm against Russell and Raiders each & every week.Our expert football picks paid off nicely.All of our subscribers were more than happy with our winning NFL football picks. Russell was a windfall of cash, paying out handsomely for three seasons!Without in-depth NFL Draft analysis, the general public, along with most NFL oddsmakers, would have thought a #1 overall pick would be at least a decent NFL quarterback, but oh how wrong they were.
In 2004 we banged the table on the 49ers quarterback selection.Time and again we wrote that the 49ers must choose Aaron Rodgers over Alex Smith.The 49ers didn't listen. The 49ers focused on the wrong qualities in their selection of A. Smith: his overall high intelligence and his running ability/mobility.Aaron Rodgers, on the other hand, had the two most important qualities required for an NFL quarterback: #1. Accuracy#2. Decision-making.To this day, Alex Smith is still smart, and he is still mobile, but he has failed as an NFL quarterback because he is terribly inaccurate, as well as a poor decision maker.
In the handicapping world, those who recognize these differences more quickly than the general public may capitalize with shrewd NFL football picks.Our crew at LockoftheDay.com sure did!And we're still making money off of Aaron Rodgers to this day (witness our large bet on the Packers recent Superbowl win).
Now, a quick look into the 2011 NFL Draft.This draft is different because rarely have so many teams been so desperate for quarterbacks.Problem is, this is actually a very poor quarterback class.However, keep an eye on Christian Ponder out of Florida State.We made some decent money with our college football picks over the last few years betting on the Seminoles when Ponder was healthy.Ponder has great awareness, excellent accuracy and decision making.We believe he will eventually make the best pro out of all other QBs in this draft.
Who will make the worst proJake Locker.Locker has trouble hitting wide open receivers!Jake Locker is Alex Smith all over again.Yet because teams are desperate for QB help, Locker will go much higher than he should.Jake Locker has bust written all over him.
Those are just two quick examples of quarterbacks. For all other position players, especially defensive players, a more extensive analysis is required.Subscribe to our NFL football picks service this upcoming season for our complete analysis and weekly NFL football picks, as well as expert college football picks. With nine straight winning seasons, we believe we truly are the best in the business at successfully handicapping the sport of football.
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